15.05.2025Facing China: The Prospect of War and Peace

Referent

Jean-Pierre Cabestan (Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, French Research Institute of East Asia)

Datum und Zeit

15. Mai 2025, 18:00-19:30

Ein Apéro riche wird nach dem Vortrag angeboten. Um Anmeldung hier wird gebeten.

Ort

RAA-E-29

Inhalt

In his talk, Jean-Pierre Cabestan will revisit the Thucydides Trap and analyse the various hotspots around China – Taiwan, the South China Sea, the Senkaku/Diaoyu islands and the Sino-Indian border – where Beijing has embarked into grey zone tactics and operations that can lead to military crises and even war. Nonetheless, the speaker will show that crossing the threshold of war carries many risks and unpredictable consequences, including a nuclearization of the conflict with the US, which may eventually dissuade China from going to war.

Organisation

Asien-Orient-Institut - Sinologie